Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
83.41 – 88.99
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
171 – 30
Prediction missed · off by 73.3 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 420.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 22.86Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 25.71Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 34.84Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 11.41Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 38.44Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 39.14Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6344, 4391, 6120
62
/ 100 compatProjected
83.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6344, 4391, 6120
Auto
22.7 28%
Teleop
40.4 49%
Endgame
18.9 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4395, 11505, 3098
64
/ 100 compatProjected
89 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4395, 11505, 3098
Auto
26.0 29%
Teleop
43.3 48%
Endgame
20.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score83.4pts
Blue projected score89pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -5.6
- Score range
- 64–108
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
420.2Season APEX155.5
22.7Auto26
40.4Teleop43.3
18.9Endgame20.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 44 | 7 |
| teleop | 79 | 12 |
| endgame | 48 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 171 | 30 |
Result
Final score
171 – 30
Prediction missed · off by 73.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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