Qualification · Qualification 78
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
51.35 – 81.72
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
50 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.1 ±15.8
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 5.24Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 17.34Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 28.77Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX -1.27Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 21.61Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 61.38Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 94, 4405, 4395
32
/ 100 compatProjected
51.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 94, 4405, 4395
Auto
12.7 27%
Teleop
15.4 33%
Endgame
18.4 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9751, 9204, 245
48
/ 100 compatProjected
81.7 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9751, 9204, 245
Auto
15.5 19%
Teleop
45.8 57%
Endgame
18.4 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score51.4pts
Blue projected score81.7pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -30.4
- Score range
- 27–106
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
194.1Season APEX314.3
12.7Auto15.5
15.4Teleop45.8
18.4Endgame18.4
5Consistency57
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 9 |
| teleop | 16 | 48 |
| endgame | 11 | 24 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 50 | 81 |
Result
Final score
50 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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