Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.3581.72

41%59%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

5081

Prediction correct · off by 1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.1 ±15.8
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 5.24Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 17.34Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 28.77Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX -1.27Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 21.61Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 61.38Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 94, 4405, 4395
32
/ 100 compat
Projected
51.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 94, 4405, 4395
Auto
12.7 27%
Teleop
15.4 33%
Endgame
18.4 40%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9751, 9204, 245
48
/ 100 compat
Projected
81.7 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9751, 9204, 245
Auto
15.5 19%
Teleop
45.8 57%
Endgame
18.4 23%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score51.4pts
Blue projected score81.7pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-30.4
Score range
27106
Upset likelihood
41%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 135.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.1Season APEX314.3
12.7Auto15.5
15.4Teleop45.8
18.4Endgame18.4
5Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto189
teleop1648
endgame1124
foul50
total5081

Result

Final score

5081

Prediction correct · off by 1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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