FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.98 – 303.76

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.8 ±13.3

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 27.86Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 1.17Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 79.95Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 494.4 ±11.2

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 117.03Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 96.91Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 89.82Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3098, 1528, 5708

/ 100 compat

Projected

109 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3098, 1528, 5708

Auto

20.0 19%

Teleop

52.5 49%

Endgame

33.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4391, 1188, 5053

/ 100 compat

Projected

303.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4391, 1188, 5053

Auto

51.1 17%

Teleop

183.5 61%

Endgame

65.7 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score109pts

Blue projected score303.8pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -194.8
Score range: 85–328
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 395 vs event baseline 134.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

188.8Season APEX494.4

20Auto51.1

52.5Teleop183.5

33.9Endgame65.7

14Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	63
teleop	61	190
endgame	32	23
foul	0	5
total	114	281

Result

Final score

114 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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