FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

196.25 – 181.85

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

283 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 72.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 612.2 ±10.7

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 89.23Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 85.3Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 21.72Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.4 ±10.7

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 103.84Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 68.74Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 9.27Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7220, 1701, 6344

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7220, 1701, 6344

Auto

68.4 35%

Teleop

103.7 53%

Endgame

22.1 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8373, 6528, 11505

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8373, 6528, 11505

Auto

36.8 20%

Teleop

103.4 56%

Endgame

43.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score196.3pts

Blue projected score181.9pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.4
Score range: 158–220
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 407 vs event baseline 133.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

612.2Season APEX537.4

68.4Auto36.8

103.7Teleop103.4

22.1Endgame43

0Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	20
teleop	184	64
endgame	28	40
foul	5	0
total	283	124

Result

Final score

283 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 72.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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