FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

92.68 – 45.57

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

69 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.7 ±13.9

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 41.58Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 22.59Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 28.51Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 133 ±13.9

6190Cybernetic Crusaders

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 2.02Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 28.57Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5263Robo-Bucs

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 14.98Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6618, 9455, 8832

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6618, 9455, 8832

Auto

8.9 10%

Teleop

48.6 55%

Endgame

30.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6190, 6029, 5263

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6190, 6029, 5263

Auto

8.4 19%

Teleop

33.7 78%

Endgame

1.3 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.7pts

Blue projected score45.6pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.1
Score range: 22–117
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 99 vs event baseline 135.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.7Season APEX133

8.9Auto8.4

48.6Teleop33.7

30.5Endgame1.3

38Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	25
teleop	22	3
endgame	21	2
foul	0	0
total	69	30

Result

Final score

69 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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