FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231.78 – 24.49

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

269 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.1 ±12.4

7247Magical Smurfs

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 26.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 47.61Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 157.88Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 151.1 ±13.3

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -14.55Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 14.89Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 24.15Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7247, 4737, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7247, 4737, 3656

Auto

37.8 16%

Teleop

127.5 55%

Endgame

66.2 29%

Strengths

· 3656 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9735, 8623, 5067

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9735, 8623, 5067

Auto

19.6 89%

Teleop

2.7 12%

Endgame

-0.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score231.8pts

Blue projected score24.5pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 207.3
Score range: 0–256
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 134.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

372.1Season APEX151.1

37.8Auto19.6

127.5Teleop2.7

66.2Endgame-0.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	19
teleop	158	31
endgame	93	10
foul	0	5
total	269	65

Result

Final score

269 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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