Qualification · Qualification 73
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
143.42 – 57.78
74%26%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
115 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 14.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.7 ±12.4
Season APEX 53Event APEX 29.49Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 7.39Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 106.54Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.8 ±12.7
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 52.83Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -7.64Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 12.59Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 66, 10672, 6615
64
/ 100 compatProjected
143.4 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 66, 10672, 6615
Auto
25.3 18%
Teleop
70.9 51%
Endgame
41.6 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6120, 10656, 1250
31
/ 100 compatProjected
57.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6120, 10656, 1250
Auto
27.8 47%
Teleop
15.0 25%
Endgame
16.1 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score143.4pts
Blue projected score57.8pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 85.6
- Score range
- 34–167
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
363.7Season APEX232.8
25.3Auto27.8
70.9Teleop15
41.6Endgame16.1
9Consistency39
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 3 |
| teleop | 60 | 19 |
| endgame | 39 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 115 | 58 |
Result
Final score
115 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 14.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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