FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.65 – 191.15

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

154 – 169

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.9 ±12.2

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 15.36Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 93.35Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 27.94Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.2 ±11.7

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 11.5Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 27.7Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 151.95Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4405, 1188, 6538

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4405, 1188, 6538

Auto

32.5 24%

Teleop

70.2 53%

Endgame

30.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11505, 5498, 3641

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11505, 5498, 3641

Auto

48.6 26%

Teleop

105.0 56%

Endgame

33.2 18%

Strengths

· 3641 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score136.7pts

Blue projected score191.1pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.5
Score range: 113–215
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 323 vs event baseline 134.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.9Season APEX369.2

32.5Auto48.6

70.2Teleop105

30.4Endgame33.2

38Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	65
teleop	73	102
endgame	44	2
foul	5	0
total	154	169

Result

Final score

154 – 169

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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