FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.96 – 179.66

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

245 – 229

Prediction missed · off by 78.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 396.8 ±12.4

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 18.34Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 10.67Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 107.95Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340 ±12.4

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 84.37Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 56.68Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 38.61Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3098, 9204, 4391

/ 100 compat

Projected

137 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3098, 9204, 4391

Auto

36.8 28%

Teleop

73.7 55%

Endgame

22.8 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5053, 245, 6618

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5053, 245, 6618

Auto

10.9 6%

Teleop

109.6 64%

Endgame

51.1 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score137pts

Blue projected score179.7pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -42.7
Score range: 113–204
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 474 vs event baseline 133.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

396.8Season APEX340

36.8Auto10.9

73.7Teleop109.6

22.8Endgame51.1

46Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	21
teleop	150	134
endgame	52	74
foul	0	0
total	245	229

Result

Final score

245 – 229

Prediction missed · off by 78.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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