FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

195.63 – 26.07

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

254 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.5 ±11.7

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 18.44Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 76.02Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 101.17Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 121.3 ±15.8

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 2.27Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 16.47Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

94The TechnoJays

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 7.33Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9455, 5708, 8373

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9455, 5708, 8373

Auto

30.1 16%

Teleop

107.2 56%

Endgame

55.7 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1528, 8623, 94

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1528, 8623, 94

Auto

12.8 59%

Teleop

-4.0 0%

Endgame

12.9 59%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195.6pts

Blue projected score26.1pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169.6
Score range: 2–220
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 133.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.5Season APEX121.3

30.1Auto12.8

107.2Teleop-4

55.7Endgame12.9

49Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	3
teleop	166	9
endgame	65	8
foul	0	0
total	254	20

Result

Final score

254 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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