FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

83.36 – 73.83

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

180 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 67.9 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 320.8 ±14.5

94The TechnoJays

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX -Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6190Cybernetic Crusaders

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX -Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 50Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.8 ±12.8

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 40.29Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 16.86Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX -Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 94, 6190, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 94, 6190, 3656

Auto

20.3 24%

Teleop

42.4 51%

Endgame

20.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6029, 9735, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6029, 9735, 1188

Auto

26.7 36%

Teleop

33.8 46%

Endgame

13.3 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.4pts

Blue projected score73.8pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9.5
Score range: 56–101
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 100.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

320.8Season APEX217.8

10.3Auto21.7

25.7Teleop25.4

14Endgame10

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	29
teleop	112	57
endgame	48	27
foul	5	0
total	180	113

Result

Final score

180 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 67.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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