Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
130.92 – 53.49
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
203 – 57
Prediction correct · off by 37.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 356.8 ±12.4
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 23.78Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 82.06Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 25.08Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.5 ±13.3
Season APEX 53Event APEX 29.31Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 0.57Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 23.61Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8832, 7220, 6029
58
/ 100 compatProjected
130.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8832, 7220, 6029
Auto
29.0 23%
Teleop
77.4 62%
Endgame
18.5 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 66, 9751, 6344
35
/ 100 compatProjected
53.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 66, 9751, 6344
Auto
8.9 17%
Teleop
24.0 45%
Endgame
20.5 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score130.9pts
Blue projected score53.5pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 77.4
- Score range
- 29–155
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
356.8Season APEX185.5
29Auto8.9
77.4Teleop24
18.5Endgame20.5
39Consistency38
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 22 |
| teleop | 105 | 28 |
| endgame | 48 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 203 | 57 |
Result
Final score
203 – 57
Prediction correct · off by 37.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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