Qualification · Qualification 68
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
60.27 – 116.92
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
46 – 128
Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.9 ±12.7
Season APEX 52Event APEX 27.85Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 17.83Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 14.59Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 29.69Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 2.84Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 84.39Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5067, 5263, 1250
36
/ 100 compatProjected
60.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5067, 5263, 1250
Auto
13.2 22%
Teleop
38.9 65%
Endgame
8.0 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6538, 6190, 1701
53
/ 100 compatProjected
116.9 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6538, 6190, 1701
Auto
46.8 40%
Teleop
53.0 46%
Endgame
16.0 14%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score60.3pts
Blue projected score116.9pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -56.6
- Score range
- 36–141
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
219.9Season APEX413.5
13.2Auto46.8
38.9Teleop53
8Endgame16
0Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 47 |
| teleop | 26 | 79 |
| endgame | 1 | 2 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 46 | 128 |
Result
Final score
46 – 128
Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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