Qualification · Qualification 67
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
86.85 – 259.03
10%90%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
109 – 235
Prediction correct · off by 23.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 204 ±12.7
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 27.41Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 7.63Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 51.81Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 529.8 ±10.7
Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 160.18Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -9.82Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 108.67Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5498, 10672, 6120
49
/ 100 compatProjected
86.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5498, 10672, 6120
Auto
24.6 29%
Teleop
47.1 55%
Endgame
13.9 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3656, 9735, 6615
83
/ 100 compatProjected
259 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3656, 9735, 6615
Auto
51.0 20%
Teleop
135.0 53%
Endgame
69.5 27%
Strengths
- · 3656 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.9pts
Blue projected score259pts
Red win probability10%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -172.2
- Score range
- 63–283
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
204Season APEX529.8
24.6Auto51
47.1Teleop135
13.9Endgame69.5
44Consistency19
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 48 |
| teleop | 34 | 115 |
| endgame | 10 | 72 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 109 | 235 |
Result
Final score
109 – 235
Prediction correct · off by 23.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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