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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.85259.03

10%90%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109235

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 204 ±12.7
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 27.41Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 7.63Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 51.81Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 529.8 ±10.7
Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 160.18Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -9.82Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 108.67Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5498, 10672, 6120
49
/ 100 compat
Projected
86.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5498, 10672, 6120
Auto
24.6 29%
Teleop
47.1 55%
Endgame
13.9 16%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3656, 9735, 6615
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
259 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3656, 9735, 6615
Auto
51.0 20%
Teleop
135.0 53%
Endgame
69.5 27%
Strengths
  • · 3656 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.9pts
Blue projected score259pts
Red win probability10%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-172.2
Score range
63283
Upset likelihood
10%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 344 vs event baseline 133.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204Season APEX529.8
24.6Auto51
47.1Teleop135
13.9Endgame69.5
44Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5048
teleop34115
endgame1072
foul150
total109235

Result

Final score

109235

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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