Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
140.57 – 160.63
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
173 – 211
Prediction correct · off by 41.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 359.1 ±12.4
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 67.38Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 46.67Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 26.52Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.3 ±12.4
Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -11.44Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 149.21Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 22.86Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6528, 4737, 4395
66
/ 100 compatProjected
140.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6528, 4737, 4395
Auto
36.7 26%
Teleop
73.8 51%
Endgame
33.4 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10656, 3641, 7247
69
/ 100 compatProjected
160.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10656, 3641, 7247
Auto
55.0 35%
Teleop
74.0 47%
Endgame
30.1 19%
Strengths
- · 3641 anchors offense
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score140.6pts
Blue projected score160.6pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -20.1
- Score range
- 117–185
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
359.1Season APEX359.3
36.7Auto55
73.8Teleop74
33.4Endgame30.1
10Consistency45
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 19 |
| teleop | 90 | 129 |
| endgame | 47 | 63 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 173 | 211 |
Result
Final score
173 – 211
Prediction correct · off by 41.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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