Qualification · Qualification 64
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
117.49 – 159.32
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
133 – 254
Prediction correct · off by 55.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.7 ±15.8
Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 86.16Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 5.28Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 26.05Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 469.5 ±10.7
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 15.83Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 91.38Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 52.11Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5053, 94, 6029
54
/ 100 compatProjected
117.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5053, 94, 6029
Auto
12.0 11%
Teleop
63.6 57%
Endgame
35.5 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8832, 8373, 245
69
/ 100 compatProjected
159.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8832, 8373, 245
Auto
26.0 16%
Teleop
81.8 51%
Endgame
51.4 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score117.5pts
Blue projected score159.3pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -41.8
- Score range
- 93–183
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
183.7Season APEX469.5
12Auto26
63.6Teleop81.8
35.5Endgame51.4
37Consistency20
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 18 |
| teleop | 89 | 188 |
| endgame | 6 | 38 |
| foul | 25 | 10 |
| total | 133 | 254 |
Result
Final score
133 – 254
Prediction correct · off by 55.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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