FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.29 – 56.79

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 4.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 125 ±13.3

6190Cybernetic Crusaders

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 2.73Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 1.24Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 30.32Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.9 ±13.9

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 20.3Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 26.63Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 9.86Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6190, 1528, 5067

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6190, 1528, 5067

Auto

20.5 65%

Teleop

12.9 41%

Endgame

-1.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3098, 6344, 10672

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3098, 6344, 10672

Auto

9.8 18%

Teleop

33.0 60%

Endgame

11.9 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.3pts

Blue projected score56.8pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.5
Score range: 10–81
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 95 vs event baseline 133.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

125Season APEX188.9

20.5Auto9.8

12.9Teleop33

-1.7Endgame11.9

33Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	16
teleop	14	25
endgame	9	12
foul	0	10
total	32	63

Result

Final score

32 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 4.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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