Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
172.52 – 265.87
24%76%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
140 – 211
Prediction correct · off by 43.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 668.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 16.25Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 87.47Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 68.8Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 602.3 ±10.7
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 115.46Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 154.13Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -3.72Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1250, 1701, 6528
72
/ 100 compatProjected
172.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1250, 1701, 6528
Auto
54.7 32%
Teleop
91.3 53%
Endgame
25.6 15%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4391, 3641, 9735
82
/ 100 compatProjected
265.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4391, 3641, 9735
Auto
67.6 26%
Teleop
147.7 56%
Endgame
49.4 19%
Strengths
- · 3641 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score172.5pts
Blue projected score265.9pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -93.3
- Score range
- 149–290
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-17
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
668.9Season APEX602.3
54.7Auto67.6
91.3Teleop147.7
25.6Endgame49.4
5Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 74 |
| teleop | 43 | 102 |
| endgame | 31 | 35 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 140 | 211 |
Result
Final score
140 – 211
Prediction correct · off by 43.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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