FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.11 – 78.38

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

133 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 49.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.3 ±13.3

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 9.45Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 41.75Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 5.91Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.3 ±13.3

5263Robo-Bucs

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 21.07Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 32.39Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7247Magical Smurfs

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 24.92Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9204, 6120, 11505

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9204, 6120, 11505

Auto

23.5 43%

Teleop

24.7 45%

Endgame

6.9 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5263, 6538, 7247

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5263, 6538, 7247

Auto

16.7 21%

Teleop

46.9 59%

Endgame

15.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.1pts

Blue projected score78.4pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.3
Score range: 33–102
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 133.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.3Season APEX184.3

23.5Auto16.7

24.7Teleop46.9

6.9Endgame15.6

50Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	13
teleop	69	24
endgame	18	18
foul	0	0
total	133	55

Result

Final score

133 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 49.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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