FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.48 – 150.83

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

198 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.7 ±11.7

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 163.1Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 38.41Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX -0.03Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325.7 ±11.7

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 23.93Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 104.16Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 22.74Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3656, 6618, 9751

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3656, 6618, 9751

Auto

29.3 15%

Teleop

106.2 54%

Endgame

59.7 31%

Strengths

· 3656 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5498, 6615, 4395

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5498, 6615, 4395

Auto

27.4 19%

Teleop

78.4 54%

Endgame

39.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score201.5pts

Blue projected score150.8pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.6
Score range: 127–225
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 391 vs event baseline 132.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.7Season APEX325.7

29.3Auto27.4

106.2Teleop78.4

59.7Endgame39

98Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	44
teleop	108	102
endgame	73	47
foul	0	0
total	198	193

Result

Final score

198 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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