FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.89 – 156.34

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.7 ±13.9

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 26.61Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 88.19Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -10.91Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.4 ±11.7

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 16.65Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 105.79Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 33.9Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 66, 5053, 10656

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 66, 5053, 10656

Auto

16.5 16%

Teleop

51.9 51%

Endgame

32.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8623, 6615, 6538

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8623, 6615, 6538

Auto

32.8 22%

Teleop

76.7 51%

Endgame

41.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.9pts

Blue projected score156.3pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.4
Score range: 77–183
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 150.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.7Season APEX352.4

16.5Auto32.8

51.9Teleop76.7

32.5Endgame41.6

47Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	41
teleop	15	60
endgame	33	41
foul	0	0
total	56	142

Result

Final score

56 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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