FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.71 – 178.25

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.3 ±12.4

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 28.27Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 52.04Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -12.6Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.8 ±13.3

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 75.41Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 37.56Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 65.28Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6344, 245, 10656

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6344, 245, 10656

Auto

26.7 39%

Teleop

20.8 30%

Endgame

21.8 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5053, 4737, 5708

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5053, 4737, 5708

Auto

17.1 10%

Teleop

101.8 58%

Endgame

57.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.7pts

Blue projected score178.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -110.5
Score range: 44–202
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 345 vs event baseline 132.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.3Season APEX261.8

26.7Auto17.1

20.8Teleop101.8

21.8Endgame57.4

46Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	36
teleop	24	164
endgame	12	81
foul	0	0
total	64	281

Result

Final score

64 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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