Qualification · Qualification 58
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
173.38 – 134.47
62%38%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
298 – 130
Prediction correct · off by 64.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 15.09Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52Event APEX 18.55Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 139.74Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.8 ±12.4
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 67.17Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 20.73Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53Event APEX 46.57Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4405, 5067, 3641
74
/ 100 compatProjected
173.4 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4405, 5067, 3641
Auto
49.2 30%
Teleop
85.2 53%
Endgame
27.7 17%
Strengths
- · 3641 anchors offense
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6528, 8832, 66
65
/ 100 compatProjected
134.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6528, 8832, 66
Auto
29.2 22%
Teleop
71.2 53%
Endgame
33.5 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.41
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score173.4pts
Blue projected score134.5pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 38.9
- Score range
- 110–197
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
423.8Season APEX355.8
49.2Auto29.2
85.2Teleop71.2
27.7Endgame33.5
0Consistency15
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 60 | 24 |
| teleop | 195 | 66 |
| endgame | 43 | 40 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 298 | 130 |
Result
Final score
298 – 130
Prediction correct · off by 64.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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