FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.23 – 72.59

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.8 ±13.3

6190Cybernetic Crusaders

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 1.8Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 17.85Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -1.42Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.6 ±12.4

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -8.38Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX -5.59Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 86.56Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6190, 1250, 9735

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6190, 1250, 9735

Auto

-0.4 0%

Teleop

10.6 48%

Endgame

11.8 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1528, 11505, 7220

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1528, 11505, 7220

Auto

30.6 43%

Teleop

34.3 48%

Endgame

6.8 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score18.2pts

Blue projected score72.6pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.4
Score range: -6–97
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 131.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.8Season APEX346.6

-0.4Auto30.6

10.6Teleop34.3

11.8Endgame6.8

61Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	43
teleop	0	75
endgame	1	43
foul	0	0
total	27	161

Result

Final score

27 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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