Qualification · Qualification 56
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
295.57 – 49.11
96%4%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
298 – 78
Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 620.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 41.91Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 165.32Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 88.34Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 163.3 ±15.8
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 39.09Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 7.47Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 2.55Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6120, 3656, 1701
82
/ 100 compatProjected
295.6 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6120, 3656, 1701
Auto
83.0 28%
Teleop
161.0 55%
Endgame
47.3 16%
Strengths
- · 3656 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6618, 9204, 94
27
/ 100 compatProjected
49.1 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6618, 9204, 94
Auto
3.3 7%
Teleop
16.1 34%
Endgame
27.7 59%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score295.6pts
Blue projected score49.1pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 246.5
- Score range
- 26–319
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
620.8Season APEX163.3
83Auto3.3
161Teleop16.1
47.3Endgame27.7
51Consistency80
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 78 | 17 |
| teleop | 152 | 30 |
| endgame | 63 | 16 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 298 | 78 |
Result
Final score
298 – 78
Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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