FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

112.42 – 133.71

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

150 – 120

Prediction missed · off by 25.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.8 ±12.2

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 90.92Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 19.61Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 1.89Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.2 ±12.7

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 69.2Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 31.06Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 33.45Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1188, 4395, 9751

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1188, 4395, 9751

Auto

25.5 23%

Teleop

60.3 53%

Endgame

27.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5708, 6029, 6538

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5708, 6029, 6538

Auto

32.5 25%

Teleop

59.2 46%

Endgame

36.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.4pts

Blue projected score133.7pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.3
Score range: 89–157
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 130.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.8Season APEX221.2

25.5Auto32.5

60.3Teleop59.2

27Endgame36.6

86Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	18
teleop	95	65
endgame	17	37
foul	5	0
total	150	120

Result

Final score

150 – 120

Prediction missed · off by 25.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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