FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.32 – 109.47

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.5 ±13.3

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 20.39Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 19.36Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7247Magical Smurfs

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 26.57Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.1 ±12.4

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -14.72Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 107.41Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 16.78Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3098, 5498, 7247

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3098, 5498, 7247

Auto

10.3 16%

Teleop

40.3 64%

Endgame

12.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10656, 6615, 9455

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10656, 6615, 9455

Auto

32.5 31%

Teleop

39.7 38%

Endgame

32.1 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.3pts

Blue projected score109.5pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.2
Score range: 43–132
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 128.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.5Season APEX339.1

10.3Auto32.5

40.3Teleop39.7

12.7Endgame32.1

35Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	36
teleop	51	69
endgame	17	30
foul	10	0
total	98	135

Result

Final score

98 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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