FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

109.95 – 97.74

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

225 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 66.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 524.6 ±13.1

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 41.42Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 80.94Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

94The TechnoJays

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX -12.41Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.7 ±12.4

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 36.56Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -6.38Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 67.56Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 245, 1701, 94

/ 100 compat

Projected

110 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 245, 1701, 94

Auto

38.9 37%

Teleop

50.5 48%

Endgame

15.5 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6618, 1528, 6528

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6618, 1528, 6528

Auto

20.1 21%

Teleop

45.6 48%

Endgame

29.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110pts

Blue projected score97.7pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.2
Score range: 75–133
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 127.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

524.6Season APEX346.7

38.9Auto20.1

50.5Teleop45.6

15.5Endgame29.5

24Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	30
teleop	116	50
endgame	49	36
foul	0	0
total	225	116

Result

Final score

225 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 66.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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