FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

92.62 – 34.85

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

176 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.8 ±13.3

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 14.73Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 68.36Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 9.53Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187 ±13.3

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX -1.61Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 40.12Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -3.66Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5067, 5053, 8832

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5067, 5053, 8832

Auto

19.8 23%

Teleop

43.6 51%

Endgame

21.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11505, 6538, 9735

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11505, 6538, 9735

Auto

19.3 55%

Teleop

7.0 20%

Endgame

8.6 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.6pts

Blue projected score34.8pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.8
Score range: 12–116
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 128.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.8Season APEX187

19.8Auto19.3

43.6Teleop7

21.8Endgame8.6

21Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	16
teleop	110	8
endgame	44	17
foul	5	0
total	176	41

Result

Final score

176 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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