FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.36 – 157.17

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.1 ±13.9

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 8.8Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 23.17Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 15.39Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.4 ±12.2

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 61.56Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 5.44Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 90.17Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9204, 4395, 8623

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9204, 4395, 8623

Auto

17.1 36%

Teleop

17.3 37%

Endgame

12.9 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5708, 10672, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5708, 10672, 1188

Auto

29.2 19%

Teleop

92.0 59%

Endgame

34.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.4pts

Blue projected score157.2pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.8
Score range: 24–180
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 128.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

145.1Season APEX291.4

17.1Auto29.2

17.3Teleop92

12.9Endgame34.5

40Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	34
teleop	23	131
endgame	14	61
foul	0	0
total	52	226

Result

Final score

52 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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