FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

186.3 – 34.28

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 375.7 ±12.4

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 23.71Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 138.1Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 24.49Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.6 ±13.9

7247Magical Smurfs

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 29.27Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 4.33Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 0.68Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8832, 3641, 9204

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8832, 3641, 9204

Auto

51.2 28%

Teleop

102.7 56%

Endgame

30.8 17%

Strengths

· 3641 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7247, 10672, 1528

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7247, 10672, 1528

Auto

7.4 22%

Teleop

7.6 23%

Endgame

18.5 55%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score186.3pts

Blue projected score34.3pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 152
Score range: 7–213
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 155 vs event baseline 150.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

375.7Season APEX174.6

51.2Auto7.4

102.7Teleop7.6

30.8Endgame18.5

47Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	5
teleop	65	1
endgame	29	3
foul	5	5
total	141	14

Result

Final score

141 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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