FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.09 – 271.59

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212 ±13.9

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 34.87Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -15.96Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 17.18Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 615.3 ±9.9

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 85.97Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 21.21Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 164.41Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4737, 10656, 4405

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4737, 10656, 4405

Auto

22.8 70%

Teleop

0.6 2%

Endgame

9.2 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7220, 1250, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7220, 1250, 3656

Auto

62.4 23%

Teleop

150.2 55%

Endgame

58.7 22%

Strengths

· 3656 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score36.1pts

Blue projected score271.6pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -235.5
Score range: 13–295
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 368 vs event baseline 126.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212Season APEX615.3

22.8Auto62.4

0.6Teleop150.2

9.2Endgame58.7

38Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	38
teleop	14	199
endgame	36	65
foul	0	0
total	66	302

Result

Final score

66 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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