FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

150.57 – 80.88

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

199 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.7 ±12.4

7247Magical Smurfs

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 24.63Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 27.47Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 98.47Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.5 ±13.3

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 22.63Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 49.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6190Cybernetic Crusaders

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 8.73Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7247, 6029, 4391

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7247, 6029, 4391

Auto

37.7 26%

Teleop

70.6 48%

Endgame

37.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5498, 66, 6190

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5498, 66, 6190

Auto

8.1 10%

Teleop

55.3 71%

Endgame

14.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score150.6pts

Blue projected score80.9pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.7
Score range: 58–174
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 126.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.7Season APEX139.5

37.7Auto8.1

70.6Teleop55.3

37.8Endgame14.2

73Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	11
teleop	122	48
endgame	29	25
foul	0	0
total	199	84

Result

Final score

199 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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