FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

86.61 – 73.12

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

91 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 12.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.2 ±12.4

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -1.42Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 68.96Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 19.07Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±12.7

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 38.54Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 9.41Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 25.17Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9735, 6528, 9455

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9735, 6528, 9455

Auto

26.3 30%

Teleop

42.3 49%

Endgame

17.9 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6538, 9751, 3098

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6538, 9751, 3098

Auto

13.8 19%

Teleop

36.8 52%

Endgame

20.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86.6pts

Blue projected score73.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.5
Score range: 50–110
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 126.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373.2Season APEX204.2

26.3Auto13.8

42.3Teleop36.8

17.9Endgame20.5

92Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	15
teleop	50	25
endgame	11	13
foul	0	0
total	91	53

Result

Final score

91 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 12.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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