FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.34 – 171.69

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 36 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 169.5 ±13.9

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX -3.21Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 39.52Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 31.03Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.1 ±12.4

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 3.72Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 173.63Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -5.66Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11505, 6618, 6029

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11505, 6618, 6029

Auto

2.3 4%

Teleop

36.1 56%

Endgame

25.7 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1528, 3656, 10656

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1528, 3656, 10656

Auto

46.6 28%

Teleop

82.6 49%

Endgame

39.3 23%

Strengths

· 3656 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.3pts

Blue projected score171.7pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.3
Score range: 44–195
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 126.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

169.5Season APEX311.1

2.3Auto46.6

36.1Teleop82.6

25.7Endgame39.3

88Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	62
teleop	13	8
endgame	17	30
foul	15	0
total	67	100

Result

Final score

67 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 36 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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