FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

113.13 – 45.5

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 377.9 ±11.7

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 8.25Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 90.63Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 14.25Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.3 ±15.3

94The TechnoJays

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX -11.28Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 29.08Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 27.7Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8623, 4391, 5498

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8623, 4391, 5498

Auto

33.4 30%

Teleop

63.3 56%

Endgame

16.3 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 94, 6344, 1250

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 94, 6344, 1250

Auto

9.5 19%

Teleop

14.8 30%

Endgame

24.9 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.1pts

Blue projected score45.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.6
Score range: 23–136
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 127.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

377.9Season APEX219.3

33.4Auto9.5

63.3Teleop14.8

16.3Endgame24.9

60Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	0
teleop	92	17
endgame	41	21
foul	0	0
total	166	38

Result

Final score

166 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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