FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

195.11 – 98.34

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

257 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 370.2 ±12.4

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 42.76Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 134.18Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 18.17Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.1 ±13.3

5263Robo-Bucs

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 28.18Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 62.82Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 7.34Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 66, 3641, 3098

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 66, 3641, 3098

Auto

40.3 21%

Teleop

109.5 56%

Endgame

44.1 23%

Strengths

· 3641 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5263, 5708, 9204

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5263, 5708, 9204

Auto

25.2 26%

Teleop

47.8 50%

Endgame

22.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195.1pts

Blue projected score98.3pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.8
Score range: 76–217
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 124.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

370.2Season APEX204.1

40.3Auto25.2

109.5Teleop47.8

44.1Endgame22.2

31Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	9
teleop	159	65
endgame	34	35
foul	20	0
total	257	109

Result

Final score

257 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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