Qualification · Qualification 40
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
182.52 – 75.74
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
201 – 115
Prediction correct · off by 28.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 399.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 52Event APEX 17.74Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 82.23Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 82.55Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.4 ±12.7
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 4.13Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 54.08Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 17.53Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5067, 1188, 8373
84
/ 100 compatProjected
182.5 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5067, 1188, 8373
Auto
33.2 18%
Teleop
103.5 57%
Endgame
44.1 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9751, 6120, 9455
54
/ 100 compatProjected
75.7 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9751, 6120, 9455
Auto
22.0 28%
Teleop
36.0 46%
Endgame
20.6 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.98
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score182.5pts
Blue projected score75.7pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 106.8
- Score range
- 54–205
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
399.7Season APEX224.4
33.2Auto22
103.5Teleop36
44.1Endgame20.6
63Consistency139
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 59 | 21 |
| teleop | 115 | 64 |
| endgame | 17 | 20 |
| foul | 10 | 10 |
| total | 201 | 115 |
Result
Final score
201 – 115
Prediction correct · off by 28.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.