FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.54 – 57.46

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

118 – 22

Prediction missed · off by 51 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.1 ±11.7

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 22.82Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 3.26Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 25.46Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.3 ±13.3

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 38.73Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 15.66Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 3.07Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6029, 5498, 245

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6029, 5498, 245

Auto

16.2 32%

Teleop

21.9 44%

Endgame

12.1 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1250, 8623, 11505

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1250, 8623, 11505

Auto

2.3 4%

Teleop

38.0 63%

Endgame

19.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.5pts

Blue projected score57.5pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.9
Score range: 30–79
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 124.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278.1Season APEX222.3

16.2Auto2.3

21.9Teleop38

12.1Endgame19.9

82Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	17
teleop	65	1
endgame	14	4
foul	15	0
total	118	22

Result

Final score

118 – 22

Prediction missed · off by 51 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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