FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

133.85 – 93.69

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.8 ±11.7

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 86.48Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 35.76Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 11.61Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 399.8 ±12.4

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 69.36Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -4.09Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 28.42Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4391, 6538, 8832

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4391, 6538, 8832

Auto

44.5 34%

Teleop

62.0 48%

Endgame

23.5 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1701, 10656, 6618

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1701, 10656, 6618

Auto

28.1 31%

Teleop

42.1 46%

Endgame

21.2 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133.9pts

Blue projected score93.7pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.2
Score range: 72–156
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 309 vs event baseline 123.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

414.8Season APEX399.8

44.5Auto28.1

62Teleop42.1

23.5Endgame21.2

36Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	60
teleop	69	63
endgame	50	13
foul	0	5
total	168	141

Result

Final score

168 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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