FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.98 – 75.81

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

199 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.2 ±11.2

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 83.71Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 127.5Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 21.77Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.6 ±11.7

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 6.95Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 7.08Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 61.78Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1188, 6615, 1528

/ 100 compat

Projected

233 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1188, 6615, 1528

Auto

31.4 14%

Teleop

140.9 61%

Endgame

58.2 25%

Strengths

· 6615 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4405, 9751, 6528

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4405, 9751, 6528

Auto

21.9 29%

Teleop

39.8 52%

Endgame

14.5 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score233pts

Blue projected score75.8pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 157.2
Score range: 55–254
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 301 vs event baseline 117.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384.2Season APEX431.6

31.4Auto21.9

140.9Teleop39.8

58.2Endgame14.5

56Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	18
teleop	108	49
endgame	53	35
foul	0	0
total	199	102

Result

Final score

199 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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