Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
25.47 – 130.21
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
56 – 133
Prediction correct · off by 16.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 25.11Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.7Event APEX -14.6Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 14.96Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.9 ±12.7
Season APEX 99Event APEX 58.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 6.88Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 64.47Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4737, 6190, 9204
10
/ 100 compatProjected
25.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4737, 6190, 9204
Auto
16.1 73%
Teleop
17.0 77%
Endgame
-10.9 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5708, 9735, 6120
68
/ 100 compatProjected
130.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5708, 9735, 6120
Auto
36.3 28%
Teleop
63.9 49%
Endgame
30.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score25.5pts
Blue projected score130.2pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -104.7
- Score range
- 4–151
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
163.7Season APEX231.9
16.1Auto36.3
17Teleop63.9
-10.9Endgame30.2
39Consistency83
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 24 |
| teleop | 26 | 67 |
| endgame | 16 | 42 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 56 | 133 |
Result
Final score
56 – 133
Prediction correct · off by 16.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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