FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

95.81 – 50.53

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

184 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.6 ±12.4

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 74.25Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7247Magical Smurfs

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX -9.7Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 31.26Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.2 ±15.3

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 22.61Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

94The TechnoJays

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 9.48Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 18.44Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8373, 7247, 66

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8373, 7247, 66

Auto

5.3 6%

Teleop

47.0 50%

Endgame

41.8 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5067, 94, 3098

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5067, 94, 3098

Auto

17.8 38%

Teleop

26.0 55%

Endgame

3.4 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.8pts

Blue projected score50.5pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.3
Score range: 30–117
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 117.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.6Season APEX148.2

5.3Auto17.8

47Teleop26

41.8Endgame3.4

31Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	19
teleop	79	9
endgame	60	17
foul	0	5
total	184	50

Result

Final score

184 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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