FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.16 – 88.11

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 521.4 ±10.7

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 106.7Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 33.65Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 28.81Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.1 ±13.9

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 26.59Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 22.25Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 39.27Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3641, 245, 10672

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3641, 245, 10672

Auto

38.2 23%

Teleop

85.8 52%

Endgame

42.6 26%

Strengths

· 3641 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6029, 9455, 6344

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6029, 9455, 6344

Auto

14.1 17%

Teleop

35.6 42%

Endgame

35.7 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.2pts

Blue projected score88.1pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.1
Score range: 67–190
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 232 vs event baseline 117.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

521.4Season APEX176.1

38.2Auto14.1

85.8Teleop35.6

42.6Endgame35.7

1Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	25
teleop	96	31
endgame	24	8
foul	0	0
total	168	64

Result

Final score

168 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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