FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

106.21 – 72.42

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

126 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 36.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.5 ±12.8

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 81.87Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 11.78Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 12.56Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 392.2 ±12.4

5263Robo-Bucs

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX -2.9Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 2.65Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 72.67Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1188, 8832, 11505

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1188, 8832, 11505

Auto

21.3 20%

Teleop

63.6 59%

Endgame

23.2 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5263, 4395, 1701

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5263, 4395, 1701

Auto

32.9 49%

Teleop

37.9 56%

Endgame

-3.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score106.2pts

Blue projected score72.4pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.8
Score range: 51–127
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 117.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.5Season APEX392.2

21.3Auto32.9

63.6Teleop37.9

23.2Endgame-3

51Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	55
teleop	77	65
endgame	27	5
foul	0	0
total	126	125

Result

Final score

126 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 36.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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