FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.44 – 73.37

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.4 ±13.9

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 8.13Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 29.95Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 34.36Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.4 ±13.3

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 52.78Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8623Michigan FC

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 16.01Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 4.58Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9735, 3098, 6618

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9735, 3098, 6618

Auto

0.9 1%

Teleop

41.7 55%

Endgame

32.9 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5708, 8623, 4405

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5708, 8623, 4405

Auto

33.2 49%

Teleop

21.9 32%

Endgame

13.2 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.4pts

Blue projected score73.4pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.9
Score range: 51–94
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 169 vs event baseline 118.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173.4Season APEX252.4

0.9Auto33.2

41.7Teleop21.9

32.9Endgame13.2

112Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	21
teleop	20	65
endgame	18	33
foul	5	0
total	50	119

Result

Final score

50 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 34 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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