Qualification · Qualification 3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
167.86 – 155.66
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
175 – 90
Prediction correct · off by 36.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.7 ±12.4
Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 9.62Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 147.09Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 11.15Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 465 ±12.4
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 20.73Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 119.54Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 15.39Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11505, 3656, 5263
66
/ 100 compatProjected
167.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 11505, 3656, 5263
Auto
36.0 21%
Teleop
95.8 57%
Endgame
37.6 22%
Strengths
- · 3656 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9455, 4391, 4405
63
/ 100 compatProjected
155.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9455, 4391, 4405
Auto
39.8 26%
Teleop
85.4 56%
Endgame
26.1 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score167.9pts
Blue projected score155.7pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 12.2
- Score range
- 129–195
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
346.7Season APEX465
36Auto39.8
95.8Teleop85.4
37.6Endgame26.1
12Consistency22
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 39 |
| teleop | 90 | 30 |
| endgame | 49 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 175 | 90 |
Result
Final score
175 – 90
Prediction correct · off by 36.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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