FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.24 – 50.77

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 28 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 447 ±11.7

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 51.85Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 73.67Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 44.72Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.9 ±13.9

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 31.08Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 25.41Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6190Cybernetic Crusaders

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX -5.72Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1250, 8373, 5053

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1250, 8373, 5053

Auto

20.3 12%

Teleop

107.2 63%

Endgame

43.1 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10672, 9455, 6190

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10672, 9455, 6190

Auto

15.3 34%

Teleop

26.8 60%

Endgame

2.9 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score170.2pts

Blue projected score50.8pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 119.5
Score range: 30–191
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 165 vs event baseline 119.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

447Season APEX185.9

20.3Auto15.3

107.2Teleop26.8

43.1Endgame2.9

25Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	5
teleop	75	16
endgame	67	2
foul	0	0
total	142	23

Result

Final score

142 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 28 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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