FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.94 – 171.46

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 169.2 ±15.3

94The TechnoJays

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 7.61Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 45.25Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 32.08Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.4 ±12.4

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 20.56Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 27.71Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 123.19Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 94, 66, 6538

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 94, 66, 6538

Auto

29.9 36%

Teleop

31.7 38%

Endgame

22.6 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4737, 6344, 6615

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4737, 6344, 6615

Auto

24.5 14%

Teleop

96.7 57%

Endgame

48.9 29%

Strengths

· 6615 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.9pts

Blue projected score171.5pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -86.5
Score range: 64–192
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 118.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

169.2Season APEX359.4

29.9Auto24.5

31.7Teleop96.7

22.6Endgame48.9

1Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	38
teleop	22	125
endgame	27	55
foul	0	0
total	62	218

Result

Final score

62 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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