FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

100.33 – 94.25

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

115 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 12.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 395.3 ±11.7

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 80.12Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9751OIA PantherBots

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX -1.04Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 21.25Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.3 ±12.7

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 67.42Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7247Magical Smurfs

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX -5.54Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 32.37Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4391, 9751, 1528

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4391, 9751, 1528

Auto

12.8 13%

Teleop

46.7 48%

Endgame

37.9 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6120, 7247, 5067

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6120, 7247, 5067

Auto

26.1 29%

Teleop

61.6 70%

Endgame

0.8 1%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.3pts

Blue projected score94.3pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.1
Score range: 73–121
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 119.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

395.3Season APEX192.3

12.8Auto26.1

46.7Teleop61.6

37.9Endgame0.8

82Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	32
teleop	60	38
endgame	15	14
foul	0	0
total	115	84

Result

Final score

115 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 12.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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